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How do I view Outage Prediction?

Utility Impact Prediction provides Outage Prediction using the National Blend of Models (NBM).

Outage Prediction provides prediction of power outages based upon overhead line mileage for the WindWet snow, and Ice hazards.

After navigating to the Utility Impact Prediction feature:

  1. Click on Outage Prediction at the top right of the screen.
  2. Select your Region or Utility from the drop-down. 
  3. Select Wind, Wet Snow, or Ice for the forecast hazard.
  4. Select desired Accumulation period.
    1. NOTE: Accumulation period is only for Wet Snow, and Ice. Select 48 or 72 hours if the storm bridges one or more days.
  5. Select Start Date and Start Time (EDT)
NOTES:
    1. There are four (4) runs per day for the NBM and the HRRR. The run times of the models are listed in Eastern time in the selection menu. The data pulled from NOAA takes up to two hours to populate on their servers. PRATUS subsequently downloads that data, which then takes up to 15 minutes to process.
    2. Each NBM run starts at 0100Z (2100 EDT of preceding day), 0700Z (0300 EDT), 1300Z (0900 EDT), 1900Z (1500 EDT). Prediction is calculated up to 168 hours. 
    3. Each HRRR run starts at 0000Z (2000 EDT of preceding day), 0600Z (0200 EDT), 1200Z (0800 EDT), 1800Z (1400 EDT). Prediction is calculated up to 48 hours. 
    4. To select the latest run, please select the most recent (Eastern) time plus 2 1/2 hours. If that time is greater than the current time, select the previous run time.